gold and Euro – Flight to safety when Crude tanker gets attacked?

Very interesting flight to safety? Or Not? As i mentioned in the last post that i shorted EURO at 1.1291 on technical chart pattern signal and it is in my directions around 185 dollars profit (100,000 EURO lot short on my fantastic mobile app of forex.com).

But i did expect Gold to fall. Why? EURO and Gold have direct relationship. That is, if EURO falls which means dollar rises which mean Gold falls. but EURO went down and Gold went up! Because GOLD is flight to safety commodity!

as the tanker attack in persian gulf took place, people went to GOLD for ‘safe investment’

lets see what happens on purely technical chart patterns – from 31st May through 12th June EURO went up from 1.1124 to 1.1344 vis a vis to GOLD what happened to GOLD prices? GOLD went up from 1282 to 1338.

NASDAQ NQM19 is still meeting resistance at 50 days SMA. I am waiting for break above 7575 before i get in. In relation to NASDAQ composite. Let’s see on the last day of trading today in the markets – NASDAQ composite should comfortably trade above 7860. It has been an outside day yesterday which i was not expecting and is quite bullish.

GOLD man – GOLD GCQ19 is hovering near 1350 dollars. what solid moves up. very bullish on GOLD.

happy travel trading !

 

 

nasdaq is losing steam

it has been a fantastic week with nasdaq. Good trade. Got in own 6/6 at around 7100 and got out on 6/11 for about 390 points profit in NQ

EUR usd is just transitioning down. Both GOLD futures (went up 30 dollars) and EUR USD went up. Gold and USD have inverse relationship. So if EUR is going up, GOLD also goes up

I missed out on Crude – just made about 160 ticks on it… Instead of around 1000 ticks. It is a big bummer since the chart indicated that it has broken support.

NIFTY 50 in India has been very volatile and erratic. Currently i am off and in the sidelines.

Just shorted EUR at 1.12910. the charts indicates a clear change in direction. GOLD is still little bit uncertain. Waiting for the patter to emerge.

EUR is interesting now – It has gone up about 200 pips in 8 days. a steep ascent. It has aggain broken an important support of 1.1300.

Happy traveling and trading

 

and correction sets in

I am currently in Hyderabad india and started trading the indian markets, they are fun !

Pardon me for not posting regularly since i have been studying the Indian markets and have diversified in Crude Oil, Gold, and EUR USD trading.

In Indian market i have been trading the NIFTY futures.

So i will be posting the general market updates on the above instruments

Lets strat with NIFTY 50 – the spot level avg 20 day volume is about 400 million. it is a fantastic instrument to trade . Current solid resistance is 12,050. but i feel it is strongly coupled with the US market where a strong correction has set in.

Gold has just crossed a solid 5 month old resistance of 1300 and 1310.  Current trend is upward for the china trade war and now trade war with Mexico is pushing the prices up from last week. I am long on GCQ19 with a short stop loss at 1315. Last week made about 3 points on GCQ19 on friday. Gold has broken on the upside the 50 days SMA.

On Crude it was a fantastic hit and run trade – a sell stop limit of 55.64/55.63 at 50.65 and placed a buy limit order at 55.00 and it was hit with a profit of 65 ticks. Crude is down and there is no support on it at all. Crude has crashed below 200 days SMA. the only support i see is at 52.50 and then at 50.

EUR USD is directionless on a daily chart. On  weekly chart it is a fantastic downtrend and dollar index has hit a resistance a solid 6 week resistance of 98.40 and has gone just below the previous support of 97.71 (nov dec 2018)

Nasdaq and US market is in correction. i am really bummed that i did not short early and have been taking a mere 100 points on NQ but that is fine.

happy travel trading !

 

A bull case for 3500 in S&P plus weekly review

Screen Shot 2019-04-13 at 11.11.16 AM

Not bad for 74 days, eh?

the source for this article is delta market investment newsletter Screen Shot 2019-04-13 at 11.10.57 AM

Delta continue : “For the market to return to its previous high, it will advance about 1.7% from current levels.  This is hardly a compelling upside story.  Is there a case to be made for the S&P 500 index to run materially higher than 2,940 in the next year?  The bullish price action of the stock market year-to-date suggests there is upside to consensus earnings and growth estimates.

One simple, time-tested rule of investing is the Rule of 20.  The Rule of 20 says the S&P 500 Price/Earnings (P/E) multiple equals 20 minus inflation.  The Federal Reserve currently measures inflation at 1.4%.  20 less 1.4 equals 18.6.  If we apply the 18.6 P/E multiple derived from the Rule of 20 to the consensus S&P 500 2020 earnings forecast of $187.42, we arrive at a price target of roughly 3,500 on the S&P 500 about one year from now.  That is 21% upside from current levels.”

IBD says this : “Leadership in the stock market is still centered on software, electronics, computer and chip sectors. They are showing no signs of weakness.”

Fidelity Weekly Ending Friday April 12th 2019barchart weekly Ending Friday April 12th

even for this week, except for health care and energy sector, all other sectors ended the week at the top of the trading range

Happy trading !

 

Bears just can’t catch a break.

IBD says this “For the seventh day in the past eight sessions, the Nasdaq and S&P 500 closed near session highs Monday. Bears just can’t catch a break.”

It continues “The Nasdaq composite rose 0.2% after wiping away an early loss of 0.6%. The composite has been rising smartly since it made a six-month high on April 1. At that time, the index put away the latest of several hiccups in which indexes have sold-off sharply, only to get back on their feet quickly.”

just a word of caution – The century figures! NASDAQ is at 8000 level, and S&P is at 2900 level.

But having said that – nothing beats this

Screen Shot 2019-04-09 at 10.53.41 AM

Else where in India – the Nifty 50 which is akin to NASDAQ-100 hit all time high

from Deccan chronicle : Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) pumped in Rs 33,980 crore in March—the largest monthly inflow in the market’s history. And in the first five trading sessions of April, they have pumped in Rs 8,634 crore more into the markets. Indian stock market is at all time high.

1 year ago in April 2018 EUR USD was 1.2280 , Now it is at 1.1267 a drop of 1000 PIPs or 10, 000 dollars!

It has nicely bonded back and made a 10 day high yesterday. But it is in a fantastic down trend. Shorting opportunity.